Young effective altruists in the United States interested in using public policy to make the world better should almost all be Republicans. They should not be Democrats, they should not be Greens, they should be Republicans. First, because the Republican Party matters a lot. Second, there is way less competition among young people to climb within the Republican Party, at least within key fields.
I agree with this. If you look at aggregate polling, it seems like conservatism is on the decline. A common view, especially after Trump, is that as minorities become a larger share of the electorate, the GOP will drift into oblivion. However, I've been told by people who've studied this that if you do a deeper dive into the data you find that on a lot of the key issues conservatism is actually growing, it's just that people don't like associating the label or the GOP, for obvious reasons.
Since even before Trump the excesses of "wokeness", leftist attempts at censorship, and deranged SJW rhetoric have been driving people to the right. Yes, the crazies are a small minority of the left, but their statements and actions are what get signal boosted on social media. This is largely countered of course by equally if not more crazy people on the right like Trump and his acolytes driving people the opposite direction. But as the influence and grip of Trump and his crazies declines (driven by, if nothing else, Trump's physical decline), the forces driving people to the right may very well overpower the forces driving people the opposite way.
Having Republicans on board is particularly important for getting a carbon fee and dividend system passed. You can have much bigger impact, I think, as one of a handful of Republicans supporting X then another Democrat supporting X.
I agree with this. If you look at aggregate polling, it seems like conservatism is on the decline. A common view, especially after Trump, is that as minorities become a larger share of the electorate, the GOP will drift into oblivion. However, I've been told by people who've studied this that if you do a deeper dive into the data you find that on a lot of the key issues conservatism is actually growing, it's just that people don't like associating the label or the GOP, for obvious reasons.
Since even before Trump the excesses of "wokeness", leftist attempts at censorship, and deranged SJW rhetoric have been driving people to the right. Yes, the crazies are a small minority of the left, but their statements and actions are what get signal boosted on social media. This is largely countered of course by equally if not more crazy people on the right like Trump and his acolytes driving people the opposite direction. But as the influence and grip of Trump and his crazies declines (driven by, if nothing else, Trump's physical decline), the forces driving people to the right may very well overpower the forces driving people the opposite way.
Having Republicans on board is particularly important for getting a carbon fee and dividend system passed. You can have much bigger impact, I think, as one of a handful of Republicans supporting X then another Democrat supporting X.